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Why Email Campaign Decisions in SFMC Are Often Based on Assumptions

Why Email Campaign Decisions in SFMC Are Often Based on Assumptions
author By CRMx
23 Jan 2026 8388 views

Salesforce Marketing Cloud gives email teams everything they need to send campaigns at scale. Journeys, automation, personalisation, and delivery are all enterprise-grade. Yet when it comes to making decisions about what to change, improve, or repeat, many Salesforce Marketing Cloud (SFMC) teams unknowingly rely on assumptions rather than evidence.


Not because they are careless.
Not because they lack experience.


But because behavioural insight is missing from standard SFMC reporting.


The Invisible Gap Between Data and Decisions


Most email campaign decisions start after a send:




  • “Should we keep this layout?”




  • “Do we need to move the CTA?”




  • “Did that design change help?”




  • “Why did performance drop?”




SFMC provides opens, clicks, and CTR. These metrics describe outcomes—but they don’t explain user behaviour inside the email.


When behaviour isn’t visible, assumptions fill the gap.


Where Assumptions Begin in SFMC Campaigns


Assumptions usually sound reasonable:




  • “The primary CTA must have worked”




  • “Users probably clicked the hero button”




  • “The layout feels clearer now”




  • “This section must be getting attention”




These statements feel data-driven because they follow metrics. But in reality, they’re interpretations without proof.


Salesforce Marketing Cloud reports confirm that something happened—not what actually happened.


Assumption 1: Clicks Mean the Right CTA Worked


One of the most common assumptions in SFMC is:



“If clicks happened, the main CTA worked.”



In reality:




  • Secondary links may be getting more clicks




  • Images may outperform buttons




  • Logos or footer links may inflate engagement




Because SFMC aggregates all clicks, teams can’t see which CTA actually mattered. Decisions are made on totals instead of intent.


Assumption 2: Design Changes Improved Engagement


After a redesign, CTR goes up slightly. The conclusion is often:



“The new design worked.”



But without behavioural insight, teams can’t confirm:




  • Which element benefited




  • Whether attention shifted positively




  • If improvements were accidental or repeatable




Design success becomes assumed rather than proven.


Assumption 3: Users Scroll and See Everything


Another quiet assumption is that users engage with the full email.


In practice:




  • Many users click early and exit




  • Lower sections may never be seen




  • Some content blocks may be completely ignored




SFMC reporting doesn’t show attention flow or drop-off, so teams assume visibility that may not exist.


Assumption 4: A/B Test Winners Explain Themselves


Salesforce Marketing Cloud supports A/B testing, but results often stop at:




  • Version B won




  • CTR was higher




Teams then assume:




  • The CTA was better




  • The layout was clearer




  • The copy resonated more




Without knowing how behaviour changed, these assumptions can’t be validated—and learning doesn’t scale.


Why Assumptions Persist in Mature Teams


Even experienced SFMC teams fall into assumption-based decisions because:




  • Reporting lacks behavioural depth




  • Stakeholders demand quick answers




  • Best practices feel “good enough”




  • There’s no visual evidence to challenge beliefs




Over time, assumptions harden into habits.


The Cost of Assumption-Led Email Optimisation


Assumption-based decisions lead to:




  • Repeated redesigns without clear gains




  • CTA changes that don’t move the needle




  • Testing fatigue




  • Slower performance improvement




  • Difficulty explaining results internally




Teams work harder—but not smarter.


Why Salesforce Marketing Cloud Reports Encourage Assumptions


SFMC reporting is excellent at summarising performance. But summaries encourage interpretation.


SFMC does not show:




  • Which links users preferred




  • Where clicks clustered




  • Which sections were ignored




  • How attention shifted across versions




Without this visibility, every decision requires interpretation—and interpretation invites assumption.


How CRMx Replaces Assumptions With Evidence


This is where CRMx Email Heatmaps fundamentally change how decisions are made in Salesforce Marketing Cloud.


CRMx doesn’t replace SFMC metrics. It explains them.


Behavioural Accuracy by Design


CRMx tracks clicks only on linked elements:




  • Linked buttons




  • Linked images




  • Linked text




Clicks on non-linked areas are not recorded.


This ensures:




  • Only intentional actions are analysed




  • No misleading engagement signals




  • Clean, decision-safe data




Seeing What Users Actually Choose


With CRMx, teams can clearly see:




  • Which CTA received the most clicks




  • Which links competed for attention




  • Which elements were ignored




Decisions are no longer based on what teams think users did—but on what users actually did.


Ending Guesswork in A/B Testing


CRMx allows teams to understand:




  • Which elements gained or lost attention between versions




  • Whether engagement redistributed meaningfully




  • Why one version outperformed another




This turns A/B testing into a learning engine, not a guessing exercise.


Aligning Teams Around Evidence


When behaviour becomes visible:




  • Designers understand what works




  • Marketers optimise with confidence




  • Stakeholders stop challenging assumptions




  • Decisions become faster and more consistent




Evidence replaces opinion.


Building a Repeatable Optimisation Process


With behavioural insight, teams can:




  • Identify winning patterns




  • Eliminate underperforming elements




  • Scale what works across campaigns




  • Create repeatable best practices grounded in data




Assumptions are replaced by proof.


Final Thoughts: Assumptions Are a Symptom, Not a Failure


Email campaign decisions in Salesforce Marketing Cloud are often assumption-based—not because teams lack skill, but because behaviour isn’t visible.


Salesforce Marketing Cloud shows outcomes.
CRMx shows behaviour.


When teams can see what users actually do inside emails, assumptions disappear—and confident, evidence-led decisions take their place.




Want to Stop Making Assumptions in Your SFMC Campaigns?


If you want to understand which CTAs work, where attention goes, and why performance changes, it’s time to move beyond assumption-based optimisation.


👉 Request a CRMx Email Heatmap demo and replace assumptions with evidence.

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